Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Blackburn
  • Craig Forsyth 3' goal
  • Ebou Adams 7' goal
  • Harrison Armegang 70' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 74' yellowcard
  • Matt Clarke 86' yellowcard
  • goal Makhtar Gueye 40'
  • yellowcard Callum Brittain 42'
  • yellowcard Sondre Tronstad 81'
  • yellowcard Hayden Carter 84'

Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 12.30pm
Blackburn 1 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result

Derby County 39.09% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 28.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Blackburn Rovers 32.29% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.57% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 60.79% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 19.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 80.83% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 7.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 92.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 30.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 33.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.41% ▼ (-0.08)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 65.33% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 34.66% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 28.61% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 71.39% ▲ (+0.20)

Score analysis

Derby County 39.08%
Draw 28.61%
Blackburn Rovers 32.29%
Derby County
1-0 @ 12.53% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 39.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.61%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 32.29%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Blackburn
Aug 9, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ewood Park
Derby
  • Tyrhys Dolan 19' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 72' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 76' goal
  • Yuki Ohashi 84' goal
  • Tyrhys Dolan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Barkhuizen 11'
  • goal Curtis Nelson 67'
  • yellowcard James Collins 82'
  • goal Kane Wilson 88'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 89'
Championship Gameweek 38
Blackburn
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Derby
  • Scott Wharton 53' goal
  • Tyrhys Dolan 59' goal
  • Lewis Travis 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ravel Morrison 28'
  • yellowcard Ravel Morrison 67'
Championship Gameweek 15
Derby
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Blackburn
  • Graeme Shinnie 29' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 50' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 89' goal
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 8'
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 20'
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 59'
  • yellowcard John Buckley 85'
  • yellowcard Reda Khadra 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Poveda 89'
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 42
Blackburn
Apr 16, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ewood Park
Derby
  • Lewis Holtby 32' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 42' goal
  • Harvey Elliott 66' goal
  • Harvey Elliott 67' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lawrence 22'
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 45'+1'
Championship Gameweek 3
Derby
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Pride Park Stadium
Blackburn
  • Lee Buchanan 33' yellowcard
  • Wayne Rooney 80' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrhys Dolan 11'
  • goal Bradley Johnson 12'
  • goal Bradley Johnson 15'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 36'
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 42'
  • yellowcard Joe Rothwell 66'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 78'
Championship Gameweek 37
Derby
Mar 8, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Blackburn
  • Louie Sibley 26' goal
  • Chris Martin 41' goal
  • Max Bird 72' yellowcard
  • Louie Sibley 75' yellowcard
  • Chris Martin 85' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 25'
  • yellowcard Joe Rothwell 45'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bennett 84'
  • redcard John Buckley 90'

Form Data

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Millwall
QPR 4 - 0 Derby
Derby 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Norwich 1 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Blackburn 1 - 1 Norwich
Swansea 3 - 0 Blackburn
Blackburn 2 - 0 Plymouth
West Brom 0 - 2 Blackburn
Blackburn 0 - 2 Wolves
QPR 2 - 1 Blackburn