Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
Blackburn

Forsyth (3'), Adams (7')
Armegang (70'), Yates (74'), Clarke (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gueye (40')
Brittain (42'), Tronstad (81'), Carter (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.o

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
39.09% ( 0.18)	28.61% ( 0.02)	32.29% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 45.57% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.21% (

-0.08)

60.79% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.16% (

-0.06)

80.83% (

0.07)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

0.07)

30.24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

0.08)

66.41% (

-0.08)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.18)

34.66% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

-0.2)

71.39% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Derby County 39.08%

Blackburn Rovers 32.29%

Draw 28.61%

Derby County	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.08%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.29%