Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 8, 2025 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Leeds

Morris (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

James (2')
Byram (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Leeds United
30.86% ( -0.42)	25.74% ( 0.18)	43.4% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.76% (

-0.89)

50.24% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

-0.8)

72.19% (

0.8)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

-0.73)

30.22% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

-0.89)

66.39% (

0.9)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.26)

23.04% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

-0.39)

56.87% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 30.86%

Leeds United 43.4%

Draw 25.74%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.86%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.4%