Championship Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Leeds
  • Aidan Morris 74' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel James 2'
  • yellowcard Sam Byram 75'

Middlesbrough vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 8.00pm
Blackburn 0 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 12.30pm
Luton 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 30.86% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 25.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Leeds United 43.4% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.7% ▲ (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.76% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 50.24% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 3.5 27.81% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 72.19% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 4.5 13.18% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 86.82% ▼ (-0.22)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 69.78% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 30.22% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 33.61% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 66.39% ▼ (-0.48)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 76.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.87% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 30.86%
Draw 25.74%
Leeds United 43.4%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.74%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 43.4%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 20
Leeds
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
Middlesbrough
  • Willy Gnonto 14' goal
  • Daniel James 74' goal
  • Maximilian Wober 89' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 90'+2' goal
  • goal Maximilian Wober 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 71'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 80'
EFL Cup
Leeds
Aug 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Middlesbrough
  • Sam Byram 35' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 25'
  • goal Anfernee Dijksteel 50'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 60'
  • goal Josh Coburn 67'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 69'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbert 76'
Championship Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
Apr 22, 2024 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT Riverside Stadium
Leeds
  • Isaiah Jones 7' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 30' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 35' yellowcard
  • Isaiah Jones 78' yellowcard
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 87' goal
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 14'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 18'
  • goal Willy Gnonto 39'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 45'+2'
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 61'
Championship Gameweek 19
Leeds
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 5 3
FT Elland Road
Middlesbrough
  • Daniel James 5' goal
  • Daniel James 5' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 7' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 7' goal
  • Joel Piroe 38' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 41' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 45'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 3'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 3'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 37'
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 37'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 45'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 54'
  • redcard Anfernee Dijksteel 62'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 67'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 83'
Championship Gameweek 35
Middlesbrough
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Leeds
  • George Saville 10' yellowcard
  • Harold Moukoudi 82' yellowcard
  • Adam Clayton 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mateusz Klich 45'
Championship Gameweek 19
Leeds
Nov 30, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Patrick Bamford 3' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 22' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Philips 24' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 45' goal
  • Helder Costa 67' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 73' goal
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 27'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 65'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Howson 75'

Form Data

Blackburn 0 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Luton 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 QPR
Swansea 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Derby
Luton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 2 Swansea
QPR 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 0 Millwall
Portsmouth 1 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 West Brom