Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
0 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gueye (23'), Buckley (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Conway (2'), Iling-Junior (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
32.39% ( 0.4)	26.19% ( 0.36)	41.41% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

-1.39)

51.61% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

-1.22)

73.4% (

1.21)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0.43)

29.88% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-0.52)

65.97% (

0.51)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

-1)

24.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

-1.42)

59.14% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 32.39%

Middlesbrough 41.41%

Draw 26.18%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.41%