Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ewood Park
  • Makhtar Gueye 23' yellowcard
  • John Buckley 62' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 2'
  • goal Samuel Iling-Junior 8'

Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
Portsmouth 1 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Blackburn Rovers 32.39% (+0.40)
Draw 26.19% (+0.37)
Middlesbrough 41.41% (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.84% (-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.38% (-1.39)
Under 2.5 51.61% (+1.39)
Over 3.5 26.59% (-1.22)
Under 3.5 73.4% (+1.22)
Over 4.5 12.38% (-0.81)
Under 4.5 87.61% (+0.80)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 70.11% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 29.88% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 34.02% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 65.97% (+0.52)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% (-1.01)
Under 0.5 24.63% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 40.85% (-1.43)
Under 1.5 59.14% (+1.42)

Score analysis

Blackburn Rovers 32.39%
Draw 26.18%
Middlesbrough 41.41%
Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 7.52% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.37% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 32.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 7.36% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.18%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 10.31% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.41%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 11, 2025 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Law McCabe 47' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Weimann 70'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Riley McGree 13' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Hyam 77'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 31' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 57' yellowcard
  • Sam Greenwood 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wharton 31'
  • yellowcard Ryan Hedges 81'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 89'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Hayden Carter 28' yellowcard
  • Sammie Szmodics 31' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 49' goal
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 40'
  • goal Matt Crooks 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 88'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Ryan Hedges 5' goal
  • goal Marcus Forss 46'
  • goal Riley McGree 56'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Duncan Watmore 45'+1' goal
  • goal Darragh Lenihan 4' (OG)
  • goal Sam Gallagher 17'