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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Blackburn logo

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Blackburn

Murphy (20')
Swanson (36'), Poole (37'), Williams (75'), Botts (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dolan (6'), Batth (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBlackburn Rovers
40.84% (0.063000000000002 0.06)26.29%32.87% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (0.028999999999996 0.03)25.05% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (0.041000000000004 0.04)59.72% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)29.7% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.75% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.83%
    Blackburn Rovers 32.87%
    Draw 26.28%
PortsmouthDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Blackburn

Portsmouth
76.1%
Draw
10.9%
Blackburn Rovers
13.0%
46
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Blackburn
3-0
Portsmouth
Gueye (61'), Brittain (70'), Weimann (76')
Tronstad (50')

Botts (19'), Murphy (81'), Devlin (87')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Portsmouth
Dack (38'), Graham (58'), Conway (90')
Nyambe (60')
Samuel (87')

Donohue (54')
Apr 3, 2010 3pm
Nov 7, 2009 3pm
Blackburn
3-1
Portsmouth
Nelsen (73'), Roberts (53', 86')
Chimbonda (36'), Givet (37'), Nelsen (41')
O'Hara (15')
O'Hara (36'), Boateng (57'), Brown (66')
rhs 2.0


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