Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 1
Stoke

Robertson (70'), Robertson (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fish (85' og., 85' og.)
Al-Hamadi (45+13'), Al-Hamadi (45+13'), Phillips (60'), Phillips (60'), Gallagher (72'), Gallagher (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Luton
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
43.39% ( -0.21)	26.96% ( 0.29)	29.65% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.34% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

-1.13)

55.59% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.93)

76.76% (

0.93)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.61)

25.41% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.84)

60.22% (

0.84)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.65)

33.85% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-0.71)

70.52% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 43.38%

Stoke City 29.65%

Draw 26.96%

Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.65%