Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Atletico Bucaramanga

Correa (26', 26')
Alarcon (20'), Alarcon (20'), Pavez (60'), Pavez (60'), Opazo (71'), Opazo (71'), Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (85'), Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gutierrez (23'), Gutierrez (23'), Sambueza (62'), Sambueza (62'), Pons (83'), Pons (83'), Vasquez (85'), Vasquez (85'), Fabry (86'), Fabry (86'), Chavez (90+5'), Chavez (90+5')
Gutierrez (33'), Gutierrez (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colo-Colo and Atletico Bucaramanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Racing 4-0 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Atletico Bucaramanga

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atletico Bucaramanga had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for an Atletico Bucaramanga win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	Atletico Bucaramanga
61.8% ( 0.09)	22.57% ( -0.07)	15.63% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

0.24)

52.51% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

0.2)

74.18% (

-0.2)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47% (

0.11)

16.53% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.71% (

0.2)

46.29% (

-0.2)

Atletico Bucaramanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.87% (

0.12)

46.13% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.18% (

0.09)

81.82% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 61.8%

Atletico Bucaramanga 15.63%

Draw 22.57%

Colo-Colo	Draw	Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 61.8%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 15.63%