Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Colo-Colo
39.85% ( 0.01)	26.26% ( -0)	33.89% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

-0.01)

51.54% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

-0.01)

73.34% (

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

25.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.76% (

60.23% (

-0.01)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.01)

28.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.01)

64.74% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 39.84%

Colo-Colo 33.89%

Draw 26.25%

Fortaleza	Draw	Colo-Colo
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.84%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.89%