Fortaleza
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
4 - 0
Colo-Colo

Lopes (25', 25'), Marinho (30', 30'), Deyverson (39', 39'), Martin Lucero (85', 85')
Martinez (32'), Martinez (32'), Deyverson (57'), Deyverson (57'), Pacheco (62'), Pacheco (62')
FT(HT: 6-0)

Amor (43'), Amor (43'), Aquino (45+3'), Aquino (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fortaleza and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 3 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Colo-Colo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-1 Racing
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawColo-Colo
39.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)26.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.89% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)51.54% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.012 -0.01)28.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.012 -0.01)64.74% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 39.84%
    Colo-Colo 33.89%
    Draw 26.25%
FortalezaDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.89%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Colo-Colo

Fortaleza
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Colo-Colo
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 1am
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
0-0
Fortaleza
Martin Lucero (61')
May 25, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
3-4
Fortaleza
Ceballos (45+1' og.), Pavez (65'), Gil (80')
Suazo (40'), Gutierrez (81'), Falcon (90+2')
Alejandro Rojas Orellana (51')
Romero (3'), Moises (25', 54'), Pikachu (61')
Ronald (45+4'), Felipe (58'), Lima (66'), Welison (79'), Robson (90+2'), Ceballos (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Fortaleza
1-2
Colo-Colo
Kayzer (70')
Titi (53'), Lima (56'), Moises (65'), Welison (66')
Martin Lucero (38'), Solari (49')
Cortes (65'), Costa (68'), Suazo (88'), Amor (90+1')
Amor (90+2')