Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Fortaleza
Apr 20, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras
  • Allanzinho 29' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 70' goal
  • goal Facundo Torres 45'+4'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 58'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 81'

Fortaleza vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2025 1.30am
Vitoria 2 - 1 Fortaleza
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Juan Martin Lucero

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2025 11.30pm
Internacional 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Fortaleza 25.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 26.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Palmeiras 47.38% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.79% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.41% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 57.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 21.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 78.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 9.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 90.71% ▼ (-0.07)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 61.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 75.66% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 24.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 41.26% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Fortaleza 25.68%
Draw 26.94%
Palmeiras 47.37%
Fortaleza
1-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.94%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 13.12% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.37%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Palmeiras
Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
Fortaleza
  • Mayke 18' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 29' goal
  • Estevao Willian 57' goal
  • yellowcard Eros Mancuso 24'
  • goal Hercules 39'
  • goal Moises 63'
  • yellowcard Titi 72'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 88'
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Britez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Fortaleza
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras
  • Juan Martin Lucero 9' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 9' goal
  • Pedro Augusto 12' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 12' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 47' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 47' goal
  • Emanuel Britez 67' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Britez 67' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 69' goal
  • Bruno Pacheco 69' goal
  • yellowcard Rony 46'
  • yellowcard Rony 46'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 57'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras
  • Bruno Pacheco 14' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 20' goal
  • Calebe 70' goal
  • Marinho 90'+7' yellowcard
  • redcard Gustavo Gomez 59'
  • goal Raphael Veiga 66'
  • yellowcard Mayke 74'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Garcia 75'
  • goal Ze Rafael 77'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Palmeiras
Jul 22, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
Fortaleza
  • Richard Rios 8' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 76' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 79' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 81' yellowcard
  • Weverton 83' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo 6'
  • yellowcard Titi 9'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 45'
  • yellowcard J. P. Vojvoda 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sasha 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 78'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Britez 82'
  • yellowcard Silvio Romero 85'
Copa do Brasil
Fortaleza
May 31, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras
  • Juan Martin Lucero 73' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Palmeiras
Nov 3, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Fortaleza
  • Rony 15' goal
  • Dudu 32' goal
  • Rony 48' goal
  • Endrick 64' goal

Form Data

Vitoria 2 - 1 Fortaleza
Fortaleza 0 - 0 Internacional
Colo-Colo 0 - 0 Fortaleza
Mirassol 1 - 1 Fortaleza
Fortaleza 0 - 3 Racing
Fortaleza 2 - 0 Fluminense
Internacional 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 2 - 0 Corinthians
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Cerro Porteno
Sport 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Cristal 2 - 3 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 0 - 0 Botafogo