Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras

Fortaleza
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Deyverson (70')
Allanzinho (29')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (45+4'), Manuel Lopez (58')
Rios (81')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-1 Palmeiras
Wednesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawPalmeiras
25.68% (-0.099 -0.1)26.95% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)47.38% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.79% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (0.138 0.14)57.59% (-0.13399999999999 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (0.107 0.11)78.37% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.92% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.13600000000001 0.14)24.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26% (0.19 0.19)58.74% (-0.189 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 25.68%
    Palmeiras 47.37%
    Draw 26.94%
FortalezaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.68%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 13.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.37%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Palmeiras
2-2
Fortaleza
Veiga (29' pen.), Willian (57' pen.)
Mayke (18')
Hercules (39'), Moises (63')
Mancuso (24'), Titi (72'), Augusto (88'), Martin Lucero (90+3'), Augusto (90+7'), Britez (90+6')
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Fortaleza
3-0
Palmeiras
Martin Lucero (9', 47'), Pacheco (69')
Augusto (12'), Britez (67')

Rony (46'), Moreno (57')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
2-2
Palmeiras
Galhardo (20'), Calebe (70')
Pacheco (14'), Marinho (90+7')
Veiga (66'), Rafael (77')
Mayke (74'), Garcia (75'), Ferreira (90+6')
Gomez (59')
Jul 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Palmeiras
3-1
Fortaleza
Rios (8'), Veiga (76'), Lopes (90+6')
Piquerez (79'), Rafael (81'), Weverton (83')
Martin Lucero (45' pen.)
Marcelo (6'), Titi (9'), P. Vojvoda (72'), Sasha (75'), Welison (78'), Britez (82'), Romero (85')
> Preview
May 31, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Fortaleza
1-0
Palmeiras
Martin Lucero (73')
Galhardo (25')

Ferreira (38'), Rony (38'), Piquerez (57'), Navarro (75'), Weverton (87')
Ferreira (77')