Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
39.26% ( 0.74)	27.44% ( -0.69)	33.3% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.22% (

2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.65% (

2.56)

56.35% (

-2.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.63% (

2.03)

77.37% (

-2.02)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

1.67)

27.98% (

-1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

2.08)

63.62% (

-2.07)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

1.28)

31.66% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

1.45)

68.07% (

-1.44)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 39.26%

Fluminense 33.29%

Draw 27.43%

Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.26%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.91) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.29%