Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.