Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
53.71% ( -0.07)	25.09% ( 0.18)	21.2% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.44% (

-0.81)

54.56% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.09% (

-0.68)

75.91% (

0.68)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

-0.35)

20.3% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

-0.56)

52.67% (

0.56)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28% (

-0.58)

40.71% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7% (

-0.53)

77.3% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 53.69%

Fortaleza 21.2%

Draw 25.09%

Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.69%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.2%