Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proenca
Fluminense

Aguia de Maraba
0 - 8
Fluminense

FT(HT: 0-4)
Canobbio (12'), Cano (15', 32'), Ignacio (45+1'), Henrique Silva Ribeiro (69'), Arias (71'), Stum (79'), Serna (82')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Aguia de Maraba and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aguia de Maraba

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Aguia de Maraba
Friday, May 24 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fluminense

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Aguia de Maraba had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Aguia de Maraba win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Aguia de MarabaDrawFluminense
20.48% (0.084 0.08)26.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)52.83% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.17% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)60.75% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19% (0.055 0.05)80.8% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Aguia de Maraba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.93% (0.133 0.13)45.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (0.108 0.11)80.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aguia de Maraba 20.48%
    Fluminense 52.83%
    Draw 26.67%
Aguia de MarabaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 15.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 52.83%