Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.