Brasileiro | Gameweek 37

Dec 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Pereira (52', 52')
Marlon (56'), Marlon (56'), Ivaldo (68'), Ivaldo (68'), Paixao (71'), Paixao (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mauricio (61', 61'), Willian (90', 90')
de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (85'), de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (85')

Reaction

Palmeiras winger Estevao Willian in September 2024.

Future Chelsea signing Estevao Willian scores last-gasp free kick to keep Palmeiras in Brasileiro title race

Estevao Willian - who will join Chelsea in July - scores a last-gasp free kick to keep Palmeiras in the Brasileiro title race heading into the final matchday.

Dec 5, 11:37

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, December 1 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Palmeiras

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-3 Botafogo
Wednesday, November 27 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Palmeiras
35.98% ( 0.1)	27.29% ( -0.31)	36.72% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 50% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48% (

1.22)

55.51% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

0.98)

76.69% (

-0.99)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

0.66)

29.51% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

0.8)

65.53% (

-0.8)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93% (

0.72)

29.06% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

0.88)

64.97% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 35.98%

Palmeiras 36.72%

Draw 27.28%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.98%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.72%