Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing Club	Draw	Cruzeiro
54.6% ( 3.92)	25.63% ( -1.49)	19.77% ( -2.43)

Both teams to score 43.87% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.01% (

2.69)

57.99% (

-2.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.32% (

2.07)

78.68% (

-2.07)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

2.85)

21.32% (

-2.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

4.22)

54.27% (

-4.22)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.76% (

-1.04)

44.24% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68% (

-0.86)

80.32% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Racing Club 54.58%

Cruzeiro 19.77%

Draw 25.63%

Racing Club	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.82) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.55) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.34) Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.58%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.56) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -1) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( -1.07) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.77%