Copa Sudamericana
Nov 23, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Gaston Martirena 3' goal
  • Gaston Martirena 15' goal
  • Emmanuel Martinez 21' goal
  • Agustin Garcia Basso 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Nardoni 82' yellowcard
  • Marco Di Cesare 83' yellowcard
  • Roger Martinez 90'+6' goal
  • Roger Martinez 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 45'+3'
  • goal Kaio Jorge 53'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 82'

Racing Club vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result

Racing Club 54.6% (+3.93)
Draw 25.63% (-1.49)
Cruzeiro 19.77% (-2.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.87% (+0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.01% (+2.69)
Under 2.5 57.99% (-2.69)
Over 3.5 21.32% (+2.08)
Under 3.5 78.68% (-2.07)
Over 4.5 9.11% (+1.20)
Under 4.5 90.9% (-1.20)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5 78.68% (+2.85)
Under 0.5 21.32% (-2.85)
Over 1.5 45.73% (+4.22)
Under 1.5 54.27% (-4.22)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 55.76% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 44.24% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 19.68% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 80.32% (+0.87)

Score analysis

Racing Club 54.58%
Draw 25.63%
Cruzeiro 19.77%
Racing Club
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 11.26% (+0.74)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.35)
3-0 @ 5.8% (+0.82)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.55)
4-0 @ 2.24% (+0.48)
3-2 @ 1.93% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 1.83% (+0.35)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.56)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-1.00)
2-2 @ 3.75% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.63%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.69% (-1.07)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.55)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.77%

Head to Head

Gameweek 6
May 23, 2018 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thiago Neves 3' goal
  • Lucas Silva 11' goal
  • Robinho 44' yellowcard
  • Leo 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Centurion 28'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 41'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Barbieri 70'
  • yellowcard Diego Gonzalez 88'
Gameweek 1
Feb 28, 2018 12.30am
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 14' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 45' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 51' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 63' goal
  • Renzo Saravia 74' yellowcard
  • Augusto Solari 77' goal
  • Renzo Saravia 89' redcard
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 30'
  • goal Robinho 70'
  • yellowcard Federico Mancuello 85'