Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.