Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Fluminense

Caxias
1 - 2
Fluminense

Alisson dos Santos (69')
Cunha Castilho (72'), (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cano (41', 66')
Guga (83')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Caxias and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caxias

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dourados Atletico 0-2 Caxias
Wednesday, February 26 at 7pm in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Aguia de Maraba 0-8 Fluminense
Wednesday, February 26 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caxias had a probability of 13.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.09%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Caxias win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
CaxiasDrawFluminense
13.59% (-0.648 -0.65)21.37% (-0.586 -0.59)65.03% (1.235 1.24)
Both teams to score 43.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (1.005 1.01)51.6% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.868 0.87)73.38% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)
Caxias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.46% (-0.376 -0.38)48.54% (0.377 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.38% (-0.272 -0.27)83.62% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.741 0.74)15.15% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (1.38 1.38)43.74% (-1.38 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Caxias 13.59%
    Fluminense 65.02%
    Draw 21.37%
CaxiasDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 5.32% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-1 @ 3.63% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 13.59%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.37%
0-1 @ 13.87% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 13.09% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.24% (0.299 0.3)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.154 0.15)
0-4 @ 3.89% (0.236 0.24)
1-4 @ 2.81% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.033 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.124 0.12)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.079 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 65.02%