Copa do Brasil
Mar 5, 2025 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Francisco Stedile
  • Jose Alisson dos Santos 69' goal
  • Lucas Cunha Castilho 72' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal German Cano 41'
  • goal German Cano 66'
  • yellowcard Guga 83'

Caxias vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caxias

All competitions

Fluminense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caxias had a probability of 13.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.09%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Caxias win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Caxias 13.59% (-0.65)
Draw 21.37% (-0.59)
Fluminense 65.03% (+1.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.66% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.4% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 51.6% (-1.01)
Over 3.5 26.61% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 73.38% (-0.87)
Over 4.5 12.39% (+0.57)
Under 4.5 87.6% (-0.57)

Caxias Goals

Over 0.5 51.46% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 48.54% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 16.38% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 83.62% (+0.28)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 84.85% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 15.15% (-0.75)
Over 1.5 56.26% (+1.39)
Under 1.5 43.74% (-1.39)

Score analysis

Caxias 13.59%
Draw 21.37%
Fluminense 65.02%
Caxias
1-0 @ 5.32% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 3.63% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 13.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.37%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 13.87% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 13.09% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.24% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 5.95% (+0.16)
0-4 @ 3.89% (+0.24)
1-4 @ 2.81% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.47% (+0.13)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-97.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-96.39)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 65.02%