Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 7pm UK
Estadio Fredis Saldivar

Dourados Atletico
0 - 2
Caxias


(40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bastos (64' pen., 90+4')
Guedes (49'), Cunha Castilho (71'), Artur Pedro da Silva (74'), Mantuan (82'), Bastos (86')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Dourados Atletico and Caxias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dourados Atletico

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Caxias

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Last Game: Caxias 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 6 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caxias win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Dourados Atletico had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caxias win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Dourados Atletico win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caxias would win this match.

Result
Dourados AtleticoDrawCaxias
33.26% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)27.62% (0.0040000000000013 0)39.12% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)57.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Dourados Atletico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)32.05% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)68.52% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Caxias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.41% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)64.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dourados Atletico 33.26%
    Caxias 39.11%
    Draw 27.62%
Dourados AtleticoDrawCaxias
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.11%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Dourados Atletico
>
Caxias 1-1 Botafogo
rhs 2.0


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