Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.