Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Cerro Porteno

Rios (41', 41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Piris (70'), Piris (70'), Morel (84'), Morel (84')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sport 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 4-2 Bolivar
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
67.84% (-0.157 -0.16)19.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)12.2% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.245 -0.25)48.92% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.22 -0.22)71.01% (0.21799999999999 0.22)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.122 -0.12)13.43% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (-0.243 -0.24)40.39% (0.24 0.24)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)49.14% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.94% (-0.036 -0.04)84.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 67.84%
    Cerro Porteno 12.21%
    Draw 19.95%
PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
2-0 @ 13.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.47% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 67.84%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.95%
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 12.21%

Head to Head
May 24, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-3
Palmeiras

Piris (33'), Cardozo (77')
Baez (15')
Artur (25', 58'), Rony (68')
Piquerez (39'), Gomez (56')
Rios (77')
Apr 21, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
2-1
Cerro Porteno
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
5-0
Cerro Porteno
Samudio (37' og.), Rony (73', 83'), Lopes (75'), Gomez (78')
Menino (40'), Danilo (52'), Rony (59')

Patino (46'), Espinola (83')
> Preview
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
0-3
Palmeiras

Espinola (80')
Rony (61', 71'), Cerqueira (87')
Scarpa (56')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Cerro Porteno
0-2
Palmeiras

Rojas (35'), Palau (54'), Churin (73')
Borja (47', 71')
Moises (1'), Dudu (74')