Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Jesus Pretell 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 45' yellowcard
  • Jesus Pretell 67' goal
  • Catriel Cabellos 75' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 83' goal
  • goal Estevao Willian 38'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 57'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 61'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 82'
  • goal Richard Rios 90'+2'

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions

Palmeiras

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Sporting Cristal 31.44% (+1.28)
Draw 25.33% (+0.31)
Palmeiras 43.23% (-1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.74% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 48.26% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 29.59% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 70.41% (+0.73)
Over 4.5 14.39% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 85.61% (+0.50)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 71.16% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 28.84% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 35.3% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 64.7% (-0.58)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 77.73% (-1.06)
Under 0.5 22.27% (+1.06)
Over 1.5 44.28% (-1.61)
Under 1.5 55.72% (+1.61)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 31.44%
Draw 25.32%
Palmeiras 43.23%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 7.99% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 7.46% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 3.09% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06% (+0.15)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.42% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 9.65% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.23%