Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
4 - 2
Bolivar

Torres (45+3', 47', 61'), Morel (72')
Benitez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vaca (17', 89')
Justiniano (32'), Sagredo (66')
Savio (84')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 4-2 Melgar
Wednesday, March 12 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bolivar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bolivar 1-0 Flamengo
Friday, August 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawBolivar
39.69% (-0.067 -0.07)26.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)33.98% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.83% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (0.055999999999997 0.06)51.82% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)73.58% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)25.63% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.95% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.094000000000001 0.09)64.84% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 39.69%
    Bolivar 33.98%
    Draw 26.32%
Cerro PortenoDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.98%

Head to Head
Jun 7, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Bolivar
2-0
Cerro Porteno
Villamil (5'), Chavez (48')
Bentaberry (1'), Fernandez (9'), Fernandez (72')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-4
Bolivar
Villamil (18'), Piris (23' og.), Bejarano (25'), Rodriguez (49')