Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Palmeiras
28.1% ( -0.17)	25.79% ( -0.4)	46.11% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.22% (

1.5)

51.78% (

-1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46% (

1.29)

73.54% (

-1.29)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

0.66)

33.03% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38% (

0.72)

69.62% (

-0.72)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

0.91)

22.43% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.04% (

1.34)

55.95% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 28.1%

Palmeiras 46.11%

Draw 25.78%

Sport Recife	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.1%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.11%