Brasileiro | Gameweek 1

Mar 29, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
0 - 0
Sport

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Sport Recife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sport Recife

All competitions

Last Game: Operario Ltda 0-0 Sport (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Sport Recife
52.21% ( 0.14)	24.86% ( -0.03)	22.93% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 50.05% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

0.01)

51.95% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

0.01)

73.7% (

-0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

0.06)

19.88% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

0.1)

51.99% (

-0.1)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47% (

-0.1)

37.53% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69% (

-0.1)

74.31% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 52.21%

Sport Recife 22.93%

Draw 24.86%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.21%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.93%