Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.