Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Sao Paulo
57.8% ( 0.03)	24.01% ( -0.02)	18.19% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.79% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.91% (

0.07)

54.08% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

0.06)

75.51% (

-0.06)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

0.04)

18.53% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

0.07)

49.77% (

-0.07)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.21% (

0.03)

43.78% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.05% (

0.02)

79.94% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 57.79%

Sao Paulo 18.19%

Draw 24%

Botafogo	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.79%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 18.19%