Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Jefferson Savarino 37' goal
  • Gregore 90'+2' goal
  • goal William Gomes Carvalho Santos 63'

Botafogo vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2024 12.30am
Internacional 0 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jefferson Savarino

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2024 11.00pm
Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Juventude
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lucas Moura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result

Botafogo 57.8% (+0.04)
Draw 24.01% (-0.03)
Sao Paulo 18.19% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.79% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.91% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.08% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.49% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.51% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.03% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.96% (-0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 81.47% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.53% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 50.23% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 49.77% (-0.07)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 56.21% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.78% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.05% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 79.94% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Botafogo 57.79%
Draw 24%
Sao Paulo 18.19%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 57.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 18.19%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Sep 26, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Damian Bobadilla 53' yellowcard
  • Damian Bobadilla 53' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 79' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 87' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 87' goal
  • Rafinha 90'+2' redcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' redcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 15'
  • goal Thiago Almada 15'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard John 49'
  • yellowcard John 49'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 90'+2'
  • redcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 90'+2'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Luiz Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Bastos 72' yellowcard
  • Bastos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafinha 82'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 82'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 50' yellowcard
  • Welington 53' yellowcard
  • Diego 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Di Placido 2'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 61'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Tiquinho 4' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 88' goal
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Tiquinho 90'