Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Operario Ltda had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.04%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Operario Ltda win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.