Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 17, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Fortaleza

Vitoria
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Janderson (37', 37'), Matheuzinho (74', 74')
Baralhas (42'), Baralhas (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Barbosa (48', 48')
Martinez (79'), Martinez (79')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Vitoria
Monday, April 14 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Internacional
Monday, April 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
VitoriaDrawFortaleza
32.33% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)27.47% (-0.342 -0.34)40.2% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Both teams to score 48.86% (0.939 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (1.215 1.22)56.68% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.966 0.97)77.64% (-0.96600000000001 -0.97)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.44 0.44)32.49% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.493 0.49)69.02% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.92400000000001 0.92)27.61% (-0.924 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (1.174 1.17)63.15% (-1.175 -1.17)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 32.32%
    Fortaleza 40.19%
    Draw 27.47%
VitoriaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.109 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.19%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 36
Vitoria
2-0
Fortaleza
Alerrandro (9', 37')
Leonardo (12'), Silva (50'), Esteves (59'), Hugo (88')

Titi (21'), Marinho (57'), Martinez (89')
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 17
Fortaleza
3-1
Vitoria
Lopes (25'), Pochettino (39'), Tinga (55')
Hercules (36'), Britez (45+6'), Martin Lucero (49'), Titi (63')
Hugo (90')
Luan (21'), Janderson (35'), Junior (60')
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