Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 0
Vitoria


Gutierrez (51')
FT

Marcos (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 4-1 Defensa
Monday, April 7 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVitoria
49.03% (-0.784 -0.78)26.14% (0.236 0.24)24.83% (0.543 0.54)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (-0.47 -0.47)55.23% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (-0.389 -0.39)76.46% (0.384 0.38)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.545 -0.55)22.56% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.815 -0.81)56.15% (0.809 0.81)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.23 0.23)37.6% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.224 0.22)74.38% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 49.03%
    Vitoria 24.83%
    Draw 26.13%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.83%