Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
29.07% ( 0.26)	28.87% ( 0.72)	42.06% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 43.77% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.51% (

-2.28)

62.48% (

2.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.91% (

-1.7)

82.09% (

1.7)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.97% (

-1.05)

38.03% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.2% (

-1.03)

74.8% (

1.03)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-1.64)

29.37% (

1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65% (

-2.05)

65.35% (

2.05)

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 29.06%

Defensa y Justicia 42.05%

Draw 28.86%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.65% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.86%	0-1 @ 13.68% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.49% Total : 42.05%