Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Mar 31, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 2
Cerro Largo

Perez (20'), Perez (20')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bertochi (28', 28'), Otormin (76', 76')
Bertochi (51'), Bertochi (51'), Otormin (70'), Otormin (70')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Last Game: Juventud 0-2 Penarol
Thursday, March 27 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Torque
Tuesday, March 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Cerro Largo
61.5% ( -0.02)	24.12% ( -0)	14.37% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 38.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09% (

0.03)

59.91% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

0.02)

80.17% (

-0.03)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

19.35% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

0.01)

51.14% (

-0.01)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.6% (

0.05)

52.39% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.74% (

0.03)

86.26% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Penarol 61.49%

Cerro Largo 14.37%

Draw 24.12%

Penarol	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 16.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.49%	1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 14.37%