Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 2
Racing


Mendez (20'), Silvera (35'), Perez (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferreira (42'), Monzon (74')
Monzon (68')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Penarol
Monday, February 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Wanderers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
58.01% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)25.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)16.2% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 38.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.44% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)62.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)82.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)21.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)55% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.61% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)85.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 58.01%
    Racing de Montevideo 16.2%
    Draw 25.78%
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 17.06%
2-0 @ 13%
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 16.2%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 12am
Gameweek 5
Penarol
0-0
Racing
Ramirez (31'), Hernandez (70')
Alaniz (15'), Pereira (90+1')
Jun 16, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
1-1
Racing
Cabrera (54')
Ramirez (42'), Babi (51'), Coelho (87')
Nandin (74')
Alaniz (44'), Mederos (61'), Odriozola (85'), Ferreira (90+8')
Mar 16, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Racing
1-2
Penarol
Veron (72')
De Los Santos (18'), Varela (63'), Odriozola (68'), Rivero (83'), Mederos (90+1'), Monzon (90+6')
Sequeira (19', 39')
Mayada (34'), Sequeira (66'), Darias (70')
Dec 2, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
1-1
Racing
Arezo (71')
Arezo (53'), Hernandez (56')
Veron (75')
Magallanes (11'), Lemos (53'), Mejia (72'), Urreta (76')
May 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 14
Racing
0-2
Penarol