MX23RW : Tuesday, May 20 06:14:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 24, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol

River Plate
1 - 1
Penarol

Barone (85')
Vera (42'), Barone (90+3'), Cachi (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Darias (30')
Perez (41'), Coelho (71'), Milans (90+2')
Remedi (90+6'), Remedi (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 2-1 River Plate
Monday, February 17 at 12.45am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Boston River
Saturday, February 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
20.03% (-0.666 -0.67) 25.28% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 54.69% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 45.17% (-1.015 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (-0.85400000000001 -0.85)56.46% (0.855 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (-0.693 -0.69)77.47% (0.69500000000001 0.7)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.94% (-1.217 -1.22)43.06% (1.219 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-1.042 -1.04)79.34% (1.044 1.04)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)20.66% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-0.136 -0.14)53.24% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 20.03%
    Penarol 54.69%
    Draw 25.27%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.03%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.42 0.42)
0-2 @ 11.06% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.82% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.29% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.69%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
River Plate
0-1
Penarol

Alfonso (7'), Fernandez (28'), Almeida (45+1'), Olivera (62'), Galletto (80')
Silvera (68')
Fernandez (28'), Olivera (32'), Milans (55')
Jul 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
1-3
Penarol
Galletto (14')
Salaberry (21'), Alfonso (83'), Quintana (83')
Corbo (45+3')
Silvera (11'), Rodriguez (61'), Darias (88')
Fernandez (16'), Mendez (24'), Darias (76')
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Penarol
3-0
River Plate
Ramirez (9'), Galletto (24' og.), Fernandez (72' pen.)
Castillo (14'), Garcia (79'), Mendez (86')

Barboza (45'), Vera (54')
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-3
Penarol

Chopitea (61'), Gargano (63'), Cabrera (73')
Gonzalez (29'), Mayada (34'), Arezo (59')
Milans (56')
Jun 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
1-3
River Plate
Hernandez (21')
Rodriguez (41'), Betancor (72'), Coelho (83')
Rodriguez (90+7')
Brunelli (42'), Barone (62', 68')
Brunelli (2'), Garcia (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!