Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.