Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.