Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.