Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 9, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Penarol

Nacional
1 - 1
Penarol

Recoba (61')
Oliva (33'), Lopez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silvera (50')
Fernandez (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, February 2 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 1-3 Penarol
Saturday, February 1 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPenarol
38.89% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)26.93% (0.277 0.28)34.17% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.917 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-1.149 -1.15)54.25% (1.146 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.968 -0.97)75.64% (0.965 0.97)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.586 -0.59)27.19% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-0.768 -0.77)62.6% (0.764 0.76)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (-0.693 -0.69)30.03% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-0.842 -0.84)66.15% (0.83800000000001 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 38.89%
    Penarol 34.17%
    Draw 26.93%
NacionalDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.359 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
2-1
Penarol
Coates (22'), Santander (84')
Petit Abad (26')
Antoni (24')
Ramirez (47')
Fernandez (11'), de Amores (24'), Rodriguez (51'), Perez (90+20')
Aug 4, 2024 7pm
Nacional
1-1
Penarol
(Aggregate 1-1 | Nacional win 0-0 on penalties)
Petit Abad (79')
Izquierdo (32'), Mejia (65'), Silvera (75')
Antoni (88'), Oliva (88')
Fernandez (34')
Hernandez (38'), Fernandez (51'), Rodriguez (64')
Batista (88'), Cristoforo (88')
Mar 29, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ramirez (79')
Carneiro (38'), Sanabria (55'), Mejia (59'), Bentancourt (80'), Oliva (80'), Cairus (90+3')
Nov 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-2
Penarol
Ramirez (30'), Baez (63')
Baez (63'), Baez (64'), Rodriguez (73')
Fagundez (35'), Suarez (35'), Suarez (36')
Neris (48'), Hernandez (87')
Coelho (15'), Gonzalez (31'), Rodriguez (72')
Coelho (35')
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
2-0
Nacional
Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')