Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Nov 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
5 - 2
Maldonado

Rodriguez (11', 78'), Lopez (65', 90+1'), Recoba (88')
Castro (6'), Oliva (68'), Pereyra (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (70'), Coates (83' og.)
Nunez (23'), Tealde (75'), Rodriguez (79')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Fenix 0-6 Nacional
Wednesday, November 13 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Racing
Tuesday, November 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
71.32% ( -0.97)	18.4% ( 0.43)	10.27% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 42.5% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

-0.32)

47.38% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

-0.3)

69.6% (

0.3)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03% (

-0.36)

11.97% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.61% (

-0.76)

37.39% (

0.76)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.28% (

0.88)

51.72% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.18% (

0.57)

85.82% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Nacional 71.31%

Deportivo Maldonado 10.27%

Draw 18.4%

Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
2-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 71.31%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.4%	0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.27%