Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nacional
Nov 16, 2024 10.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Maldonado
  • Alexis Castro 6' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 11' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 65' goal
  • Christian Oliva 68' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 69' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 78' goal
  • Jeremia Recoba 88' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Nunez 23'
  • goal Diego Romero 70'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 75'
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 79'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 83' (OG)

Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Nov 13, 2024 7.30pm
Fenix 0 - 6 Nacional
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Nov 12, 2024 10.00pm
Maldonado 0 - 1 Racing
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Maximiliano Noble

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 71.32% ▼ (-0.97)
Draw 18.4% ▲ (+0.43)
Deportivo Maldonado 10.27% ▲ (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.5% ▲ (+0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.62% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 47.38% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 30.4% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 14.95% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 85.05% ▲ (+0.21)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 88.03% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 11.97% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.77)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 48.28% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 0.5 51.72% ▼ (-0.89)
Over 1.5 14.18% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 85.82% ▼ (-0.58)

Score analysis

Nacional 71.31%
Draw 18.4%
Deportivo Maldonado 10.27%
Nacional
2-0 @ 13.94% ▼ (-0.22)
1-0 @ 13.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.30)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.24)
4-1 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 71.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.4%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 10.27%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Maldonado
May 21, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Nacional
  • Maximiliano Noble 22' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 22' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 60' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 60' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 86' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 87' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Angel Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 88' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Cantera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Izquierdo 20'
  • yellowcard Juan Izquierdo 20'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 32'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 32'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 34'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 34'
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 49'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 66'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 66'
  • goal Diego Zabala 79'
  • goal Diego Zabala 79'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 85'
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 90'+3'
  • goal Diego Zabala 90'+5'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+5' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Nacional
Oct 24, 2023 12.15am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Maldonado
  • Diego Zabala 15' goal
  • Diego Zabala 17' goal
  • Franco Fagundez 28' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagundez 29' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 8'
  • yellowcard Tomas Fernandez 9'
  • yellowcard Angel Cayetano 33'
  • yellowcard Angel Cayetano 34'
  • goal Elias de Leon 40'
  • goal Elias de Leon Aristegui 42'
  • goal Elias de Leon 61'
  • yellowcard Elias de Leon 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Cartagena 66'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alfaro 82'
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Nacional
Jun 17, 2023 10.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Maldonado
  • Ignacio Ramirez 45'+2' goal
  • Federico Martinez 56' goal
  • Alfonso Trezza 75' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 86' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Maldonado
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Maldonado
Jul 30, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Nacional
  • Maximiliano Cantera 21' goal
  • Maximiliano Cantera 44' goal
  • Angel Cayetano 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Angel Cayetano 62' redcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Marichal 4'
  • redcard Nicolas Marichal 20'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gigliotti 56'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 62'
  • yellowcard Sergio Rochet 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Nacional
Feb 6, 2022 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Maldonado
  • Diego Rodriguez 23' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Gigliotti 69' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Gigliotti 84' goal
  • Emmanuel Gigliotti 90' redcard
  • Matias Zunino 90'+3' goal
  • Santiago Ramirez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 23'
  • goal Eduardo Darias 67'
  • goal Nicolas Marichal 71' (OG)
  • goal Maximiliano Cantera 90'+7'

Form Data

Fenix 0 - 6 Nacional
Racing 0 - 2 Nacional
Nacional 2 - 0 Cerro
Rampla 2 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 5 - 1 Miramar Misiones
Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Nacional
Maldonado 0 - 1 Racing
Cerro 0 - 0 Maldonado
Maldonado 1 - 1 Rampla
Miramar Misiones 1 - 0 Maldonado
Cerro Largo 1 - 0 Maldonado
Penarol 2 - 0 Maldonado