Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Miramar Misiones in this match.