Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.