Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 2
Racing

Barrios (58')
Giampaoli (68'), Spinelli (75'), Soria (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nandin (23'), Alaniz (70')
Monzon (12'), Varela (33'), Nandin (41'), Rodriguez (42'), Odriozola (44'), Urreta (44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Defensor
Saturday, September 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Wanderers
Saturday, September 7 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawRacing de Montevideo
46.12% (0.114 0.11)26.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)27.82% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)52.99% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)74.58% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.94% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.060000000000002 0.06)56.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)33.88% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (-0.106 -0.11)70.55% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 46.12%
    Racing de Montevideo 27.82%
    Draw 26.05%
Defensor SportingDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.82%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Racing
0-1
Defensor

Rodriguez (21'), Magallanes (90+5')
Valiente (33')
Bernal (60'), Barco (70')
Mar 2, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 3
Racing
1-2
Defensor
Ferreira (34')
Rodriguez (74')
De Los Santos (6'), Elizari (65' pen.)
Mansilla (38'), Rodriguez (90'), Cabrera (90+4')
Nov 11, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 9
Defensor
3-0
Racing
Ramirez (9' pen., 70'), Duarte (80')
Bernal (20'), Elizari (36'), Martinez (37'), Perez (50'), Dufour (64')

Lemos (12'), Urreta (39'), De Los Santos (71')
Apr 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Racing
0-1
Defensor
Balboa (54')
Oct 20, 2019 8pm
Defensor
4-0
Racing
Laquintana (26'), Pavone (54', 92'), Barros (70')

Arismendi (70')