Nov 2, 2024 10.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Alexis Castro 31'
Antonio Galeano 45'+1'
Nicolas Lopez 55'

German Triunfo 54'
Alejo Macelli 84'

Nacional vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
W
W
W
D

Last game

Oct 20, 2024 10.00pm

Rampla 2 - 1 Nacional

Goals scored

87

Top scorer

Nicolas Lopez

Cerro

All competitions

D
W
D
L
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
D
L
L
L

Last game

Oct 20, 2024 7.00pm

Cerro 1 - 1 Racing

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Nicolas Gonzalez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.75%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 70.05% ▼ (-0.44)

Draw 19.61% ▲ (+0.23)

Cerro 10.34% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score:

39.25% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.97% ▼ (-0.30)

Under 2.5 52.03% ▲ (+0.30)

Over 3.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 3.5 73.76% ▲ (+0.26)

Over 4.5 12.15% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 4.5 87.85% ▲ (+0.17)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 86.27% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 0.5 13.73% ▲ (+0.23)

Over 1.5 59.01% ▼ (-0.45)

Under 1.5 40.99% ▲ (+0.45)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 45.5% ▲ (+0.27)

Under 0.5 54.5% ▼ (-0.26)

Over 1.5 12.42% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 1.5 87.58% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Nacional 70.04%

Draw 19.61%

Cerro 10.34%

Nacional

1-0 @ 14.85% ▲ (+0.05)

2-0 @ 14.75% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.13)

2-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.04)

4-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.11)

4-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.05)

5-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.06)

3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)

5-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 3.12%

Total : 70.04%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.11)

0-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.09)

2-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.39%

Total : 19.61%

Cerro

0-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.09)

1-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.06)

0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 1.69%

Total : 10.34%

Head to Head

Jun 9, 2024 10.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Santiago Ramirez 14'
Mathias Abero 29'
Joshuan Berrios 76'
Nahuel Petillo Mediza 84'
Nicolas Gonzalez 88'

Federico Santander 65'
Juan Izquierdo 67'
Alexis Castro 69'

Apr 28, 2024 10.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Centenario

Mathias Abero 36'
Alejo Macelli 61'
Maicol Rodriguez 90'+6'

Gonzalo Carneiro 40'
Mateo Antoni 60'
Christian Oliva 70'
Christian Oliva 75'

Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Leandro Lozano 10'
Yonatan Rodriguez 17'
Federico Martinez 33'
Emmanuel Gigliotti 70'

Lucas Rodriguez 12'
Lucas Rodriguez 25'
Jairo Coronel 31'
Cristhian Tizon 43'
Mathias Abero 51'
Ramiro Fernandez 67'

Jun 3, 2023 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis TrÃ³ccoli

Dylan Nandin 1'

Gaston Pereiro 79'

Mar 4, 2023 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Monumental Luis TrÃ³ccoli

Lucas Rodriguez 19'
Mathias Abero 67'

Alfonso Trezza 11'
Gaston Pereiro 70'

Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mario Garcia 43'
Maicol Cabrera 71'
Bryan Bentaberry 75'

Emiliano Martinez 20'
Alfonso Trezza 32'
Armando Mendez 48'
Gonzalo Bergessio 51'
Sergio Rochet 75'
Brian Ocampo 76'

Form Data

Rampla 2 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 5 - 1 Miramar Misiones

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 2 - 1 Penarol

Progreso 0 - 3 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 1 Defensor

Cerro 1 - 1 Racing

Fenix 1 - 3 Cerro

Rampla 1 - 1 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 1 Miramar Misiones

Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 5 Penarol