Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Danubio
0 - 0
Nacional


Etchebarne (29'), Etchebarne (29')
FT

Castro (14'), Castro (14'), Oliva (81'), Polenta (81'), Oliva (81'), Polenta (81'), Sanabria (88'), Sanabria (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Danubio
Sunday, November 17 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 5-2 Maldonado
Saturday, November 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawNacional
18.97% (-0.858 -0.86)26.76% (-0.2 -0.2)54.28% (1.063 1.06)
Both teams to score 40.03% (-0.665 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.57% (-0.213 -0.21)62.43% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.95% (-0.156 -0.16)82.05% (0.158 0.16)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.2% (-1.127 -1.13)47.8% (1.13 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.92% (-0.843 -0.84)83.08% (0.84700000000001 0.85)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.377 0.38)23.32% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.542 0.54)57.27% (-0.54 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 18.97%
    Nacional 54.27%
    Draw 26.74%
DanubioDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 4.42% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.97%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 11.14% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 16.22% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 11.81% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.73% (0.23 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.09% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.27%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-6
Nacional

Etchebarne (31')
Castro (24'), Zabala (35'), Galeano (38', 88'), Baez (51'), Petit Abad (90+6')
Galeano (88'), Cairus (90+2')
May 25, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Danubio
Bentancourt (84')
Polenta (83'), Bentancourt (85'), Baez (90+4')

Romero (17'), Ferreira (42'), Leyes (90')
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Danubio
0-0
Nacional
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
rhs 2.0


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