Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 47.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.