Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
12
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-
Kevin Rolon
4'
-
Mateo Alejandro Acosta Fernandez
17'
-
Mauro Silveira
17'
-
Emiliano Garcia
34'
-
Emiliano Garcia
39'
-
Paulo Lima
90'+2'
-
Facundo Batista
10'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
18'
-
Rodrigo Perez
25'
Montevideo Wanderers vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Montevideo Wanderers
26.29%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
27.08%
▼
(-0.04)
Penarol
46.63%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
46.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.33%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
57.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
21.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
78.43%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
9.25%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
90.75%
▼
(-0.03)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5
62.33%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
37.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
25.55%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
74.45%
▲
(+0.09)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
75.26%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
24.74%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
40.71%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
59.29%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Montevideo Wanderers
26.29%
Draw
27.07%
Penarol
46.63%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0
@
9.1%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.29%
2-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.29%
Draw
1-1
@
12.7%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.07%
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.07%
Penarol
0-1
@
13.01%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.63%
0-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.63%