Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 8, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
River Plate0 - 1Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 River Plate
Monday, February 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, February 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Monagas 2-0 Defensor
Wednesday, February 5 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 5 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
28.08% ( -0.19) | 27.02% ( -0.23) | 44.9% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
