Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2024 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Defensor

Cerro Largo
3 - 0
Defensor

Di Pippa (22'), Mir (43'), Anasco (81')
Contrera (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barrios (50'), Jorge (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 4-0 Wanderers
Tuesday, November 19 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Defensor
Sunday, November 17 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawDefensor Sporting
36.37% (0.214 0.21)29% (0.124 0.12)34.63% (-0.335 -0.34)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.15% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)61.85% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.37% (-0.319 -0.32)81.63% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)32.46% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)68.98% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (-0.45 -0.45)33.61% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.494 -0.49)70.25% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 36.37%
    Defensor Sporting 34.62%
    Draw 28.99%
Cerro LargoDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.27% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.9% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 11.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.62%

Head to Head
May 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
3-1
Cerro Largo
Bautista Viacava Caviglia (10'), Rivero (16'), Mansilla (45+1')
Soria (90+3')
Silveira (36' pen.)
Brasil (12'), Silveira (48'), Correa (54'), Santilli (74'), Furtado (79'), Estol (86'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 7
Defensor
2-0
Cerro Largo
Agazzi (57'), Duarte (89')
De Los Santos (6'), Elizari (15'), Ramirez (32'), Barco (63'), Cabrera (87')

Mir (12'), Viera (71')
Mar 19, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
0-3
Defensor
Gianoli (4' og.), De Los Santos (64'), Navarro (90')
Sep 16, 2022 12.15am
Gameweek 8
Defensor
0-1
Cerro Largo
Miranda (90+8' pen.)
Jun 25, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 3
Defensor
1-0
Cerro Largo
Labandeira (90')
de los Santos (3'), Mallo (38'), Camargo (76'), Sant'Anna (88'), Ferrari (90+4')

Bentaberry (27'), Morales (69'), Max (86'), Lima (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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