Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.