Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.