Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.