Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.