Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 27, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
Penarol

Juventud
0 - 2
Penarol


Mas (46'), Gauthier Pereira Brasil (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (57' pen.), Herrera (75')
Baez (45+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Juventud and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 2-4 Juventud
Thursday, March 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 0-3 Liverpool
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 14.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.32%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Juventud win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
JuventudDrawPenarol
14.38% (-0.26 -0.26)23.03% (-0.227 -0.23)62.59% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 41.06% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (0.377 0.38)56.25% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.305 0.31)77.29% (-0.3 -0.3)
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.83% (-0.155 -0.16)50.17% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22% (-0.107 -0.11)84.78% (0.11399999999999 0.11)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.316 0.32)17.59% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.541 0.54)48.16% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Juventud 14.38%
    Penarol 62.58%
    Draw 23.02%
JuventudDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 3.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 14.38%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 15.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 13.32% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.72% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.35% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 62.58%

How you voted: Juventud vs Penarol

Juventud
16.7%
Draw
83.3%
Penarol
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2019 8pm
Juventud
1-1
Penarol
Varela (16')
Rodriguez (39'), Varela (57'), Gravi (58'), Pintado (78')
Formiliano (47')
Riascos (72'), Rojo (72'), Gargano (77')
Aug 18, 2019 10pm
Penarol
0-0
Juventud
Abascal (19'), Busquets (24'), Lores (45'), Pereira (90')
Abascal (90')
Sencion (40'), Gravi (95')
Mar 3, 2019 10pm
Penarol
4-1
Juventud
Fernandez (31'), Viatri (43'), Hernandez (62'), Lores (82')
Lema (89')
Alberti (6')
Varela (43'), Pintado (45'), Gonzalez (74')
Sencion (78')