Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
Defensor

Juventud
2 - 1
Defensor

Rodriguez (4'), Gauthier Pereira Brasil (55')
Maizon Rodriguez Gonzalez (34'), Boselli (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernando Abreu Firenze (80')
Altez (25'), Cadenazzi (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Juventud and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 2-1 Juventud
Saturday, March 8 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Liverpool
Friday, March 7 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Juventud win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
JuventudDrawDefensor Sporting
22.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)27.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)81.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)43.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)80.08%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Juventud 22.3%
    Defensor Sporting 50.09%
    Draw 27.6%
JuventudDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.15%
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.41%
3-0 @ 1.02%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.3%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 15.24%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 50.09%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2019 8pm
Juventud
1-3
Defensor
Varela (72' pen.)
Alberti (62'), Gonzalez (85'), Rodriguez (88')
Gonzalez (9'), Rodriguez (54'), Laquintana (64')
Fuentes (80')
Jul 20, 2019 7pm
Defensor
1-1
Juventud
Pavone (95' pen.)
Napoli (98')
Zeballos (48')
Pintado (97')
Gravi (86')
Mar 9, 2019 7.30pm
Defensor
1-4
Juventud
Navarro (14')
Correa (29'), Ergas (64'), Villoldo (86')
Vinas (10'), Zeballos (22', 51', 87')
Varela (25'), Alberti (40'), Rodriguez (48')